of the
cupboard while drawing attention to the view from the window). In  the  same
way a political scientist can 82 recognize the symptoms  of Injelititis even
in its primary stage. He will pause, sniff, and nod wisely, and it should be
obvious at once that  he knows. But how does he  know? How  can he tell that
injelitance  has set  in?  If  the  original source of  the  infection  were
present, the diagnosis would be easier, but it is still  quite possible when
the germ of the disease is on holiday. His influence can be  detected in the
atmosphere. It can  be detected,  above all, in certain remarks that will be
made by others, as thus: "It would be a mistake  for us to attempt too much.
We cannot compete with Toprank. Here in Lowgrade  we do useful work, meeting
the needs of the country. Let us be content with that." Or again, "We do not
pretend to be  in the  first  flight. It is absurd the way  these people  at
Much-Striving talk  of  their  work, just  as if  they were in  the  Toprank
class." Or finally,  "Some of  our younger men have transferred to Toprank--
one or two  even to  Much-Striving. It is probably their wisest plan. We are
quite  happy  to let  them succeed in that  way. An exchange  of  ideas  and
personnel  is  a good thing-- although, to be sure, the few men we  have had
from Toprank have been rather  disappointing. We can  only expect the people
they have thrown out. Ah well, we must not grumble. We always avoid friction
when we can. And, in our humble way we can claim to be doing a good job."
     What do these remarks  suggest? They suggest-- or, rather, they clearly
indicate-- that the standard of achievement has been set too low. Only a low
standard  is  desired  and one  still  lower  is acceptable.  The directives
issuing  from a second-rate chief and addressed to his third-rate executives
speak only  of  minimum  aims and  ineffectual means. A  higher  standard of
competence  is not desired, for an 83 efficient organization would be beyond
the  chief's power  to  control.  The  motto,  "Ever  third-rate"  has  been
inscribed over  the main  entrance  in letters of  gold. Third-rateness  has
become  a  principle  of  policy.  It  will be observed,  however, that  the
existence of higher  standards  is still recognized. There remains  at  this
primary  stage a hint  of  apology,  a feeling of uneasiness when Toprank is
mentioned. Neither this apology  nor unease lasts for long. The second stage
of the disease comes on quickly and it is this we must now describe.
     The  secondary  stage is recognized  by  its  chief symptom,  which  is
Smugness.  The  aims have  been  set  low and  have  therefore  been largely
achieved. The target has been  set up within  ten yards of the  firing point
and the  scoring has therefore  been high. The directors have done what they
set out to do. This  soon fills them with self-satisfaction. They set out to
do something and they have done it. They  soon  forget that  it was  a small
effort to gain a small  result. They observe only that they have succeeded--
unlike  those  people at  Much-Striving. They become  increasingly smug  and
their smugness reveals itself in remarks such as this: "The chief is a sound
man and very  clever when you get to know him.  He never says much-- that is
not his way-- but he seldom makes a mistake." (These last  words can be said
with justice of someone who never does anything at all.) Or this: "We rather
distrust brilliance  here. These clever  people  can be a dreadful nuisance,
upsetting  established routine and proposing  all sorts  of  schemes that we
have never seen tried. We obtain splendid results by simple common sense and
teamwork." And finally  this: "Our canteen is something we are really rather
proud of. We don't 84 know how the  caterer can produce  so good a lunch  at
the price. We are lucky to have him!" This last remark is made as we  sit at
a table covered with dirty oilcloth, facing an uneatable, nameless mess on a
plate and shuddering at the sight and smell of  what passes  for  coffee. In
point of fact, the canteen reveals more than the office. Just as for a quick
verdict  we judge a  private house by inspection  of the WC (to find whether
there is a spare toilet roll), just as we judge a  hotel by the state of the
cruet, so we judge a larger institution by the appearance of the canteen. If
the decoration is  in dark brown and pale green; if the curtains  are purple
(or  absent); if there  are no flowers  in sight; if there is  barley in the
soup (with  or without a dead fly); if the menu is one of hash and mold; and
if  the  executives are  still  delighted  with  everything-- why,  then the
institution is  in a pretty bad  way. For self-satisfaction, in such a case,
has reached the point at which those responsible  cannot tell the difference
between food and filth. This is smugness made absolute.
     The tertiary and last  stage of  the disease is one in which apathy has
taken  the place of  smugness. The  executives  no  longer  boast  of  their
efficiency as compared with some other institution. They have forgotten that
any other  institution exists.  They  have  ceased to  eat in  the  canteen,
preferring now to bring sandwiches  and scatter their desks with the crumbs.
The bulletin  boards carry notices  about the concert  that took  place four
years ago,  Mr. Brown's  office  has a  nameplate saying, "Mr.  Smith."  Mr.
Smith's door is marked, "Mr. Robinson,"  in faded ink on an adhesive luggage
label. The broken windows have been repaired with odd bits of cardboard. The
electric light switches give a 85 slight but painful shock when touched. The
whitewash is flaking off  the ceiling and the paint is blotchy on the walls.
The elevator is  out of order  and  the cloakroom tap cannot  be turned off.
Water from the  broken skylight drips wide of the bucket placed to catch it,
and from somewhere in  the basement comes the wail of a hungry cat. The last
stage of  the  disease has brought the whole  organization to the  point  of
collapse. The symptoms of the disease in this acute form are so numerous and
evident that a trained investigator can often detect them over the telephone
without visiting the place at all. When  a weary voice answers "Ullo!" (that
most unhelpful of replies), the expert has often heard enough. He shakes his
head sadly as he replaces the receiver. "Well  on in the tertiary phase," he
will mutter to himself, "and almost certainly inoperable." It is too late to
attempt any sort of treatment. The institution is practically dead.
     We  have now described this disease as seen from within  and then again
from outside. We know now the origin,  the progress, and the  outcome of the
infection, as also the  symptoms  by which its presence is detected. British
medical skill seldom goes  beyond that point in its research. Once a disease
has been identified, named, described, and  accounted  for,  the British are
usually  quite satisfied and  ready  to  investigate  the next problem  that
presents itself. If asked about  treatment they look  surprised and  suggest
the use of  penicillin  preceded or followed  by the extraction  of  all the
patient's teeth. It becomes  clear at once that this is not an aspect of the
subject that interests them. Should our  attitude  be the same? Or should we
as political scientists consider what, if anything, can be done about it? It
86  would  be premature,  no doubt, to  discuss  any  possible treatment  in
detail, but it  might be  useful to indicate very generally the lines  along
which a solution might be attempted. Certain principles, at  least, might be
laid down. Of such principles, the first  would have  to be this: a diseased
institution cannot reform itself. There are instances, we know, of a disease
vanishing without treatment, just  as it appeared without warning; but these
cases are rare and regarded by the specialist as irregular  and undesirable.
The  cure, whatever its  nature, must  come  from outside. For a  patient to
remove  his  own  appendix  under a  local  anaesthetic  may  be  physically
possible, but  the practice is  regarded  with disfavor  and is open to many
objections. Other operations lend themselves still less to the patient's own
dexterity. The first  principle we can safely  enunciate is that the patient
and  the surgeon should not be the same person. When an institution is in an
advanced state of  disease, the  services of  a  specialist are required and
even,  in  some instances,  the services of the  greatest  living authority:
Parkinson himself. The fees payable may be very heavy indeed, but in  a case
of this sort, expense is  clearly  no  object. It is a matter, after all, of
life and death.
     The  second principle we might lay down is this, that the primary stage
of the  disease  can be  treated by a  simple  injection, that the secondary
stage can be cured in some instances by surgery, and that the tertiary stage
must be regarded  at present  as incurable. There was a time when physicians
used to babble about  bottles and  pills, but this  is  mainly  out of date.
There was another period when they talked more vaguely about psychology; but
that too  is  out  of  date, most  of the  psychoanalysts having  since been
certified 87 as insane. The present age is one  of injections and  incisions
and it  behooves  the political scientists to keep in step with the Faculty.
Confronted  by  a   case  of  primary   infection,  we  prepare  a   syringe
automatically  and  only  hesitate as  to  what,  besides water,  it  should
contain. In principle, the  injection should contain some active substance--
but from which group should it  be selected? A kill-or-cure  injection would
contain a high  proportion  of Intolerance, but this drug  is  difficult  to
procure  and sometimes too  powerful  to use. Intolerance is obtainable from
the  bloodstream  of regimental sergeant majors and is found to comprise two
chemical   elements,  namely:  (a)   the   best  is  scarcely  good   enough
(GGnth)    and    (b)   there   is   no   excuse   for   anything
(NEnth).  Injected  into  a diseased institution, the  intolerant
individual has a tonic effect and may cause the organism to turn against the
original source  of infection. While this treatment may well do good, it  is
by no means certain that the cure will be permanent. It is doubtful, that is
to say, whether the  infected substance will be actually  expelled  from the
system. Such information as we have  rather leads  us  to suppose  that this
treatment is merely palliative in the first  instance, the disease remaining
latent  though inactive. Some  authorities believe that repeated  injections
would result in  a  complete cure, but others  fear  that repetition of  the
treatment would set up a fresh irritation, only slightly less dangerous than
the original  disease.  Intolerance is a  drug to  be used, therefore,  with
caution.
     There exists a rather milder drug called Ridicule, but its operation is
uncertain,  its character unstable, and  its effects too little known. There
is little  reason to fear that any 88 damage could result from an  injection
of  ridicule,  but neither is  it  evident that  a cure would  result. It is
generally agreed that the injelitant individual will have  developed a thick
protective skin, insensitive to  ridicule. It may well be that  ridicule may
tend to isolate the infection, but that is as much  as could be expected and
more indeed than has been claimed.
     We may note, finally, that Castigation, which is easily obtainable, has
been tried in cases of this sort and not wholly without effect.  Here again,
however, there are difficulties. This  drug is an immediate stimulus but can
produce a result the exact opposite of what  the specialist intends. After a
momentary spasm of activity, the injelitant individual will often prove more
supine  than before and just as harmful as a source of infection. If any use
can be made of castigation it will almost certainly  be as one element  in a
preparation  composed otherwise of  intolerance and  ridicule,  with perhaps
other  drugs as  yet  untried.  It  only  remains  to  point out  that  this
preparation does not as yet exist.
     The  secondary  stage  of  the  disease  we  believe  to  be  operable.
Professional readers will  all have heard  of the Nuciform  Sack  and of the
work generally  associated  with the name  of Cutler Walpole. The  operation
first performed  by that  great surgeon involves, simply, the removal of the
infected parts and  the simultaneous introduction  of new blood drawn from a
similar organism. This operation has sometimes succeeded. It is only fair to
add that it has also sometimes failed. The  shock  to the system can be  too
great. The new  blood may be unobtainable and may fail, even when  procured,
to  mingle with  the blood previously in  89 circulation. On the other hand,
this drastic method offers, beyond question, the  best chance of a  complete
cure.
     The tertiary stage presents us with no opportunity  to do anything. The
institution is for all practical purposes dead. It can be founded afresh but
only  with  a  change of name, a change of site,  and an entirely  different
staff.  The temptation,  for  the economically minded, is  to  transfer some
portion of  the original staff  to  the new  institution-- in the  name, for
example,  of  continuity. Such a transfusion would  certainly be fatal,  and
continuity is the very thing to  avoid.  No portion of the old  and diseased
foundation  can  be regarded as free from infection. No staff, no equipment,
no  tradition must  be  removed from  the  original site.  Strict quarantine
should be  followed by complete  disinfection. Infected  personnel should be
dispatched  with a warm  testimonial  to  such  rival  institutions  as  are
regarded with particular  hostility.  All  equipment  and  files  should  be
destroyed  without  hesitation. As  for  the buildings, the  best plan is to
insure  them heavily and then  set them  alight.  Only when  the site  is  a
blackened ruin can we feel certain that the germs of the disease are dead.
     90
        11. PALM THATCH TO PACKARD OR A FORMULA FOR SUCCESS
     READERS WHO are all too familiar with popular works on anthropology may
be  interested to learn  that  some  recent investigations  have  involved a
completely novel approach. The ordinary anthropologist is one who spends six
weeks or  six months (or  even sometimes six years)  among, say,  the Boreyu
tribe  at their settlement on  the  Upper  Teedyas River, Darndreeryland. He
then returns to  civilization  with  his  photographs, tape  recorders,  and
notebooks, eager to  write his book  about  sex  life and superstition.  For
tribes such as the Boreyu, life is made intolerable by  all this peering and
prying.  They often become  converts to Presbyterianism  in the belief  that
they will thereupon cease to be of interest to  anthropologists; nor in fact
has this device been known to  fail. But  enough primitive people remain for
the purposes of science. Books continue to multiply, and when the last tribe
has resorted to the singing  of hymns in  self-defense,  there are still the
poor  of the backstreets.  These are perpetually pursued  by  questionnaire,
camera, and phonograph; and the written results are familiar to us all. What
is new  about  the approach  now being  attempted  is not  the technique  of
investigation  but   the  choice  of   a   society  91  in  which  to  work.
Anthropologists of this latest school ignore the  primitive and have no time
for the poor. They prefer to do their fieldwork among the rich.
     The  team whose work  we shall now  describe, and to which  the present
author is  attached, made certain preliminary studies  among  Greek Shipping
Magnates and went on to deal in greater detail  with the Arab Chieftains  of
the  Pipeline. When this line  of  investigation had to  be  abandoned,  for
political  and  other  reasons,  the  team  went  on  to  study the  Chinese
Millionaires of Singapore. It is there we encountered the Flunky Puzzle.  It
is there  we  first heard  of  the Chinese Hound Barrier.  During the  early
stages of our inquiry we did not know the meaning of either term. We did not
even know whether they were different names  for the same thing. What we can
claim now is that we at least followed up the first clue to present itself.
     This  clue we obtained in the course of a visit to the Singapore palace
of Mr.  Hu Got  Dow. Turning  to the equerry  who  had shown  him round  the
millionaire's collection of jade,  Dr.  Meddleton exclaimed, "Gee,  and they
say  he began life as  a coolie!" To  this the  inscrutable Chinese replied,
"Only coolie can become millionaire. Only coolie  can look like coolie. Only
velly  lich man can afford to look lich." Upon these few and enigmatic words
(of which no further  explanation  was offered) we based our whole scheme of
research. The  detailed  results are comprised  in the  Meddleton-Snooperage
Report  (1956) but there is no reason why  they should not be presented in a
simplified  form  for  the general  reader.  What  follows  is just such  an
outline, with technicalities mostly omitted.
     Up   to  a   point,   as  we  recognized,  the  problem   of   the   92
coolie-millionaire offers no  real difficulty. The Chinese coolie lives in a
palm-thatched hovel  on  a  bowl of  rice. When he has  risen  to  a  higher
occupation-- hawking peanuts, for example, from a barrow-- he still lives on
rice and still lives in a hovel. When he has risen farther-- to the selling,
say, of possibly stolen bicycle  parts, he keeps to his hovel  and his rice.
The result is that he has money to invest. Of ten coolies in this situation,
nine will lose their  money  by unwise speculation. The tenth will be clever
or lucky. He will live, nevertheless, in his hovel. He will eat, as  before,
his rice. As a success technique this is well worthy of study.
     In the American log cabin story the point is soon reached at  which the
future millionaire must  wear a  tie. He explains that he  cannot  otherwise
inspire confidence. He must also  acquire a better address, purely (he says)
to  gain prestige.  In point of fact, the  tie is to please his wife and the
address  to satisfy  his  daughter. The Chinese have  their womenfolk  under
better control. So  the prosperous coolie sticks to his hovel  and his rice.
This is a known fact and  admits of two explanations. In the first place his
home (whatever its other disadvantages) has undeniably brought  him luck. In
the second  place, a better house would unquestionably attract the notice of
the  tax collector.  So he wisely stays where  he is. He will often keep the
original hovel-- at  any rate  as an office-- for  the rest of his life.  He
quits it so reluctantly  that  his decision  to move marks a major crisis in
his career.
     When  he  moves  it  is  primarily  to evade  the  exactions of  secret
societies, blackmailers, and gangs. To conceal  his growing  wealth from the
tax collector  is  a relatively easy 93 matter;  but to conceal  it from his
business associates is practically impossible. Once the word goes round that
he is prospering, accurate guesses will  be made as to the  sum for which he
can  be  "touched."   All  this  is  admittedly  well  known,  but  previous
investigators have  jumped too readily to the conclusion that there is  only
one sum involved. In point of fact there are three: the sum the victim would
pay  if  kidnaped  and  held  to  ransom; the  sum he  would pay  to  keep a
defamatory article out of a Chinese newspaper; the sum he would subscribe to
charity rather than lose face.
     Our task was to  ascertain the figure the first sum  will  have reached
(on  an average) at the moment when  migration takes place from the original
hovel to a  well-fenced house guarded by an Alsatian hound. It  is this move
that has been termed "Breaking the Hound Barrier." Social scientists believe
that  it will tend to occur as  soon  as the ransom  to be  exacted comes to
exceed the overhead costs of the "snatch."
     At about the time a prosperous  Chinese changes  house he  has also  to
acquire  a Chevrolet  or  Packard. Such a purchase often, however, antedates
the change of  address. So the spectacle of  the expensive  car  outside the
dingy office is too familiar to arouse much comment. No complete explanation
has so far been offered. Conceding, as we may, the need for a car, we should
rather expect it to share the  squalor  of its surroundings. For reasons not
yet apparent,  however, Chinese  prosperity is first and  fairly measured in
terms of chromium, upholstery, make, and year. And the Packard will involve,
very  soon,  a  wire  fence, barred windows, padlocked garage, and hound.  A
revolutionary change  has occurred. If the Alsatian-owner does 94 not go  so
far as to pay his taxes, he must at least know how to explain why no taxable
income has so far  come his way. And supposing he can avoid  paying $100,000
to gangsters, he can hardly avoid payment of blackmail in some form. He must
expect to receive  obsequious journalists who claim  credit for  refusing to
publish hostile  articles about him in dubious journals. He  must  expect to
see the same journalists a week later, this time collecting  funds for  some
vaguely described orphanage. He must accustom himself to the visits of trade
union officials offering for  a consideration to discourage  the  industrial
unrest that will otherwise affect his interests. He  must resign himself, in
fact, to the loss of a percentage.
     One of our objects  was to compile some detailed information about  the
Alsatian-owning phase of a Chinese businessman's  career. This was,  in some
ways, the most difficult part of the whole investigation. There are types of
knowledge only to  be gained  at  the  price  of torn trousers and  bandaged
ankles.  We  are  proud  to  think,  in  retrospect,  that  where risks were
inevitable they were taken unflinchingly. No fieldwork was  needed, however,
to discover what actual amounts  are  paid in ransom. These  figures  are in
fact generally known  and often quoted in the local press with some pretense
at accuracy. What is significant  about  these figures is  the range between
the smallest and the largest figures  quoted. Sums appear to vary from $5000
to $200,000-- never as little  as  $2000 nor as  much as  $500,000. Nor  can
there be any doubt  that  the  majority of extortions fall within a narrower
range than that. Further research will, no doubt, establish what the average
amount can be taken to be. 95 96
     If we suppose that the  minimum extortion represents a figure just high
enough  to  yield a marginal profit, we shall  as readily  conclude that the
maximum extortion represents all that can  be extracted from the richest men
that  are ever kidnaped. It is manifest, however,  that  the very wealthiest
men  are never kidnaped  at all. There would seem to be a point beyond which
the Chinese gains immunity from blackmail. In this last phase, moreover, the
millionaire  97   seeks  to  emphasize  rather  than   conceal  his  wealth,
demonstrating publicly that  the point of immunity has been reached. So far,
no social  scientist of our team  has been  able to discover how this  final
immunity is achieved. Several have been thrown out of the Millionaires' Club
when  trying to  collect  evidence on  this  point. Concluding that  it  has
something  to  do  with  the  number of  equerries, aides-de-camp,  personal
assistants, secretaries, and valets (all much  in  evidence  at  this stage)
they have termed the problem "The Flunky Puzzle" and left it at that.
     It is  not to  be supposed however that this problem will baffle us for
long. Indeed,  we  know already  that  our choice  lies,  broadly  speaking,
between two alternative explanations, with the proviso that we may  possibly
end by  accepting  both. One guess has been  that  the  flunkies are  really
gunmen forming  an impenetrable  bodyguard.  The  other guess  is  that  the
millionaire has bought up an entire secret society and one against which  no
other gang  dare  act.  To test the former theory--  by a  carefully  staged
holdup--  would be relatively  simple. At the cost of a life or two the fact
could be established beyond all reasonable doubt. To test the  latter theory
would need more brains and  possibly more courage.  With several  casualties
already among the  brave dog-bitten members  of our  team, we  did  not feel
justified  in  pursuing this line  of research.  We  concluded  that  we had
neither  the men  nor the funds to complete the investigation.  Having since
received timely aid from the  Miss Plaste Trust (Far East branch) we hope to
know the answer fairly soon.
     A  problem that remains, even  after the  publication  of  our  interim
report,  is the enigma of Chinese tax evasion. 98 All that we could discover
about this was that  Western methods are not widely used. As is well  known,
the Western technique depends on discovering the standard delay (or S.D., as
we call it among  ourselves) in the  department with which we  have to deal.
That is, of course, the normal lapse of time between the receipt of a letter
and its being  dealt with. It is, to be more exact, the time it takes  for a
file  to  rise  from the bottom  of the in-tray to  the  top  of  the  pile.
Supposing  this to be twenty-seven  days,  the Western tax evader begins his
campaign by writing  to ask why he has received  no notice of assessment. It
does  not matter, actually,  what he says in the letter. All he  wants is to
ensure  that his file, with its new enclosure,  will be at the bottom of the
heap. Twenty-five days later  he will write  again,  asking  why  his  first
letter has not been  answered. This sends his file back to the bottom  again
just when it was almost reaching the top.  Twenty-five days  later he writes
again. ... So his file  is never dealt  with at all and never in fact  comes
into view.  This  being  the  method  known to  us  all,  and  known  to  be
successful, we naturally concluded that it was known also to the Chinese. We
found, however, that these is no S.D.  in the East.  Owing to variations  in
climate  and sobriety, the  government departments lack that ordered  rhythm
which  would make  them  predictable. Whatever method  the  Chinese use,  it
cannot depend upon a known S.D.
     To this problem we have, it  should be  emphasized, no final  solution.
All we have is a theory upon the validity of which it  would be premature to
comment.  It was put forward by one of our  most brilliant investigators and
can be described as no more  than an  inspired  guess. According 99 to  this
supposition the Chinese millionaire does  not wait  for his  assessment, but
prefers to send  the tax collector a check  in advance for,  say, $329.83. A
covering note  refers briefly  to earlier correspondence and a previous  sum
paid   in  cash.  The  effect  of  this  maneuver  is  to  throw  the  whole
tax-collecting machine out of gear.  Disorganization  turns to chaos  when a
further  letter  arrives,   apologizing   for  the   error  and  asking  for
twenty-three cents back.  Officials are so perturbed and mystified that they
produce no  response  of  any kind for about eighteen  months--  and another
check reaches them before that period has elapsed, this time for $167.42. In
this  way,  the theory  goes, the millionaire pays virtually nothing and the
inspector of taxes ends in a padded cell. Unproved as this theory may be, it
seems worthy of careful investigation.  We might  at least give it  a trial.
100
        10. PENSION POINT, OR THE AGE OF RETIREMENT
     OF THE MANY problems  discussed and solved in  this work,  it is proper
that the question of retirement should be left to the  last. It has been the
subject of  many commissions  of inquiry but  the evidence heard has  always
been   hopelessly   conflicting  and  the   final  recommendations  muddled,
inconclusive, and vague.  Ages of compulsory retirement are fixed  at points
varying  from  55  to  75,  all  being equally arbitrary  and  unscientific.
Whatever age has been decreed by  accident and custom can be defended by the
same argument. Where the retirement age is fixed at 65 the defenders of this
system  will always  have found, by experience,  that  the mental powers and
energy show signs of flagging at  the age of 62. This would be a most useful
conclusion to have reached had not  a different phenomenon been observed  in
organizations where the age  of retirement has been  fixed at 60. There,  we
are told, people are found to lose their grip, in some degree, at the age of
57. As against that, men whose retiring age is 55 are known to be past their
best at 52. It would seem,  in short, that efficiency declines at the age of
R minus 3, irrespective of  the age  at which R has been fixed.  This  is an
interesting fact in itself  but  not  101  directly helpful when it comes to
deciding what the R age is to be.
     But while the  R-- 3 age is not directly  useful to us, it may serve to
suggest  that  the investigations hitherto pursued have been  on  the  wrong
lines.  The observation often made  that men  vary,  some  being old at  50,
others  still energetic at 80 or  90, may  well  be true, but here again the
fact leads us nowhere. The truth is that the age of retirement should not be
related in any way to the man whose retirement we are considering. It is his
successor we have to watch: the  man (Y) destined  to replace the  other man
(X) when  the latter retires.  He will pass, as is well known, the following
stages in his successful career:
     1. Age of Qualification -- Q
     2. Age of Discretion = D (Q + 3)
     3. Age of Promotion = P (D + 7)
     4. Age of Responsibility = R (P + 5)
     5. Age of Authority = A (R + 3)
     6. Age of Achievement = AA (A + 7)
     7. Age of Distinction = DD (AA + 9)
     8. Age of Dignity = DDD (DD + 6)
     9. Age of Wisdom = W (DDD + 3)
     10. Age of Obstruction = OO (W + 7)
     The above scale is governed  by the numerical value of  Q. Now, Q is to
be  understood as  a technical term. It does not mean that  a man at Q knows
anything of the business he will have  to transact. Architects, for example,
pass  some form of examination but are seldom found to know  anything useful
at that point  (or indeed any other point)  in 102  their career. The term Q
means the  age at  which a professional  or business career  begins, usually
after an  elaborate  training that  has proved profitable only to those paid
for organizing it. It will be seen that if Q = 22, X will not reach OO  (the
Age  of  Obstruction) until  he  is  72.  So  far  as his  own efficiency is
concerned,  there is no valid reason for replacing him  until he is  71. But
our problem centers not on him but on Y, his destined successor. How are the
ages of X  and Y likely to compare? To be more exact,  how  old will X  have
been when Y first entered the department or firm?
     This  problem  has  been  the subject of  prolonged investigation.  Our
inquiries have tended to prove that the age gap  between X and Y is  exactly
fifteen  years.  (It is not,  we find, the normal  practice  for  the son to
succeed  the  father  directly.) Taking  this average of  fifteen years, and
assuming  that Q = 22,  we find that Y  will  have  reached  AA  (the Age of
Achievement) at  47,  when X  is  only  62. And that,  clearly, is where the
crisis  occurs.  For Y,  if  thwarted  in his  ambition  through  X's  still
retaining  control, enters, it has been proved, a different series of stages
in his career. These stages are as follows:
     6. Age of Frustration (F) = A + 7
     7. Age of Jealousy (J) = F + 9
     8. Age of Resignation (R) = J + 4
     9. Age of Oblivion (O) = R + 5
     When  X,  therefore,  is 72, Y is  57,  just  entering  on the  Age  of
Resignation. Should X at  last retire  at that age, Y is quite unfit to take
his  place, being  now  resigned  (after 103 a  decade  of  frustration  and
jealousy) to a career of mediocrity. For Y, opportunity will have come  just
ten years too late.
     The age of Frustration will not always be the same in  years, depending
as  it does on the factor Q, but its symptoms are easy to recognize. The man
who is  denied the  opportunity of  taking decisions of importance begins to
104 regard as important  the decisions  he is allowed to  take.  He  becomes
fussy about filing,  keen on  seeing that pencils  are sharpened,  eager  to
ensure that  the  windows are open (or shut),  and apt  to use  two or three
different-colored inks.  The Age of Jealousy reveals itself  in an  emphasis
upon seniority. "After all, I am still somebody." "I  was  never consulted."
"Z has very  little experience." But that period 105 gives place  to the Age
of Resignation. "I am not one  of these ambitious types." "Z is welcome to a
seat on the Board-- more trouble than it is worth, I should say." "Promotion
would only have interfered with my golf."  The theory has been advanced that
the Age of Frustration is  also marked by  an interest in local politics. It
is now known, however, that men enter  local politics  solely as a result of
being  unhappily  married.  It  will be apparent,  however, from  the  other
symptoms described, that the  man still in a subordinate  position at 47 (or
equivalent) will never be fit for anything else.
     The  problem, it  is now clear, is to  make X retire at the age of  60,
while  still  able  to  do  the work better than anyone else.  The immediate
change  may  be  for the  worse  but  the alternative is to have no possible
successor at hand when X finally goes. And the more outstanding X has proved
to be, and the longer his period of office, the more hopeless is the task of
replacing  him.  Those nearest him in the seniority are already too  old and
have been subordinate for too long. All  they can do is to block the way for
anyone junior to  them; a task  in which they will  certainly not  fail.  No
competent successor will  appear for years, nor at all until some crisis has
brought a  new  leader  to the fore. So the  hard decision  has to be taken.
Unless X goes in good  time, the whole organization will eventually  suffer.
But how is X to be moved?
     In this, as in so  many other matters, modern science is not at a loss.
The crude  methods of the past have been superseded. In  days gone by it was
usual,  no  doubt,  for  the  other  directors  to talk  inaudibly  at board
meetings, one merely opening and shutting his mouth and  another nodding 106
in apparent comprehension, thus convincing the chairman that he was actually
going deaf. But there is a modern technique that is  far more  effective and
certain. The method depends essentially on air  travel and the filling in of
forms.  Research has  shown that complete exhaustion in modern life  results
from a combination of these two  activities. The high official who  is given
enough of each will very soon begin to talk of retirement. It used to be the
custom in  primitive African  tribes  to  liquidate the  king or  chief at a
certain point in his career, either after a period of years or at the moment
when  his vital powers appeared to  have gone. Nowadays  the technique is to
lay before the great man the program of a conference at  Helsinki in June, a
congress at Adelaide  in July, and a  convention at Ottawa in  August,  each
lasting about three weeks. He is assured that the prestige of the department
or firm will depend on his presence and that the  delegation of this duty to
anyone else would be regarded as  an insult  by  all others taking part. The
program of travel will allow of his return  to the office for about three or
four days  between  one conference and  the  next. He  will find his in-tray
piled high on  each occasion  with  forms to fill  in, some relating  to his
travels, some to do with applications for  permits or quota allocations, and
the rest  headed "Income Tax." On his  completion of the  forms awaiting his
signature after  the Ottawa convention, he  will be given the program for  a
new series of conferences; one at Manila  in September, the second at Mexico
City in October, and the third at Quebec  in  November.  By December he will
admit that he is feeling his age. In January  he will announce his intention
to retire.
     The  essence of this technique is  so  to arrange  matters 107 that the
conferences are held at  places the maximum distance apart  and  in climates
offering  the  sharpest  contrast  in  heat  and cold.  There  should  be no
possibility whatever of a restful sea voyage in any part of the schedule. It
must be air  travel  all the way. No  particular care need  be  taken in the
choice between one route and another. All are alike in being planned for the
convenience of the  mails rather  than  the  passengers.  It can  safely  be
assumed, almost without inquiry,  that most  flights will involve takeoff at
2.50 A.M.,  reporting  at the airfield at  1.30 and weighing  baggage at the
terminal at 12.45. Arrival  will  be scheduled for 3.10 A.M. on the next day
but  one.  The  aircraft  will  invariably,  however,  be somewhat  overdue,
touching down  in  fact at  3.57  A.M., so that passengers will be clear  of
customs and immigration by about 4.35. Going one way around the world, it is
possible and indeed customary  to have breakfast about  three times.  In the
opposite direction  the passengers will have nothing  to eat for hours  at a
stretch, being  finally offered a  glass  of sherry  when  on  the  point of
collapse from malnutrition. Most  of the flight time will of course be spent
in filling in  various declarations about currency and health. How much have
you  in dollars (U.S.), pounds  (sterling), francs,  marks,  guilders,  yen,
lire,  and  pounds (Australian);  how much  in letters  of credit, travelers
checks,  postage  stamps, and postal orders? Where did you  sleep last night
and  the  night  before that? (This  last  is an easy question, for  the air
traveler is usually able to declare, in good faith, that he has not slept at
all  for the past week.) When were you  born and what was your grandmother's
maiden name? How many children have you  and why? What will be the length of
your stay and where? What is 108 the object of your visit, if any? (As if by
now you could even remember.) Have you had chicken pox and why not? Have you
a visa for  Patagonia and  a re-entry permit for Hongkong? The  penalty  for
making  a  false declaration is  life imprisonment.  Fasten your seat belts,
please.  We are about to land at Rangoon. Local time  is  2.47 A.M.  Outside
temperature is 110° F. We  shall stop  here for approximately  one hour.
Breakfast  will  be  served on the aircraft five hours  after takeoff. Thank
you. (For what, in heaven's name?) No smoking, please.
     It   will   be   observed   that   air   travel,   considered   as    a
retirement-accelerator, has the advantage  of  including  a fair  amount  of
form-filling. But form-filling proper is a separate ordeal, not  necessarily
connected with travel. The art of devising forms to be filled  in depends on
three  elements: obscurity,  lack  of space, and the heaviest penalties  for
failure. In  a  form-compiling department, obscurity  is  ensured by various
branches  dealing respectively with ambiguity, irrelevance,  and jargon. But
some of the  simpler  devices have now become  automatic. Thus,  a  favorite
opening gambit is a section,  usually  in the  top right-hand corner, worded
thus:
|  Return rendered in respect of the month of  |   | 
     As you have been sent the form on February 16, you have no idea whether
it relates to last month, this month or next. Only the  sender  knows  that,
but  he is  asking you. At  this  point  the  ambiguity  expert  takes over,
collaborating closely with a space consultant, and this is the result: 109
  |  Cross out
     the word
     which does
     not apply  |  Full
     name  |  Address  |  Domicile  |  When
     naturalized
     and why  |  Status  | 
 |  Mr.
     Mrs.
     Miss  |   |   |   |   |   | 
     Such a form as this  is especially designed, of  course, for a Colonel,
Lord,   Professor,   or   Doctor   called    Alexander   Winthrop   Percival
Blenkinsop-Fotheringay   of   Battleaxe   Towers,   Layer-de-la-Haye,   near
Newcastle-under-Lyme,  Lincolnshire-parts-of-Kesteven  (whatever  that   may
mean). Follows the word "Domicile," which is practically  meaningless except
to an  international  lawyer,  and  after th