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"" (.., ..) . . ----------------- .. , . , . , (, ..) () . , ( ), , , , .. , - . , . , "" , . ( ) ; , , " " , , .. "" -? .. .. , , , ( , - , , ) , , . ( 2). . ; . . . () (). , .. ( ), . . , ; ? , , . , . () "" ("" - ). . ( ) . , ( ) - ( , - ). , , (, - " " - ), , ( ). "". 30- (. [262] , ). , . 50- [263]-[264], "" , . , , , . .. "" , . .., . .. [265]. "" 60- , . , , . , "" "" ( ). . ( "") , . 15-20 [266]-[268]. "". , . , , . [269]. "", .. . . , - ( ) , . . X = {x } , "" 1 t=1 n . , X X , , , P{x u , x u } = F(u ,u ) t = n - 2 F ( ), t t = n +1 - F ( ), \F ( ) - F ( )\ > 0, \ \ - sup-. , . , R A , j=1,...,r, (x ,x ) . , (I(A) - ), . , , , . . , , V ( ) = x x , =0,1,2,..., V ( ). , , , , ( , ) . "" Y (n) = [(1 - - )] [ - x - x ] (1) 0 1, 1 n N-1, X= {x } - , . (1) -, ( n). , (1) ( N--> "" ) (.. "") . ( .[269]) VERDIA IBM-PC. "" . VERDIA . . 2. , , (.., .., .., ..) 2.1. , ... , ... - " ", .. .. - .. . - , " " ( , - .. ) . , , , .. . .. ... ( , ) .. ... .. ... ., . .. . , . (, . .) () . , ( ), , , , .. , (- ) . - , "" - . , "" , , ( " ") . , . : , () , " " , , .. " () -" ? , , () "". , , ( , ..). - " " , () " " , , ( , ). , .. .., . , , , .., .. .. ( ) , ( ). , . . , X "" X(t), "" , t. . .10.1. , ( , .. ..) , , ( ) . X(t). . , , , , .. , - X(t). (.10.2). , .10.2. , . . . , .. , , , " " . 2.2. , , .: . , , . , , . , . , : 1) ( ): , 1390 ... 1717 ... 2) ( ): , 1340 ... 1751 ... 3) : , 850 ... 1430 ... 4) : , 850 ... 1430 ... 5) : , 850 ... 1450 ... 6) : , 860 ... 1555 ... 7) : , 850 ... 1850 ... 8) : , 970 ... 1237 ... 9) : , 1401 ... 1548 ... 10) : , 1401 ... 1547 ... 11) : , 1339 ... 1446 ... 10. .10.3 - .2-6. , , ( ). . ( ) , ( ) ( ). . - . , , . . , , , , : ( ) ( ). , ( ). , , . , " ": . .10.7. , . .10.3 . . , , . , .10.5 . . , . , . .10.4 ( " "). , ( - , - ). .. .. [52],[61]. , () , . , ( ): . , - ( 100 40 ). . - ( 80 ). - (150 50 ). 2.3. , - : 1) , : ( , 1- () 465 . () 753 . .. 288 . .. ( ). -, . ( - , ). 390-400 . (.. 350 .., ). 360 440 . (.. 400 310 . ..). . 4. . .. " " (., , 1996). 2) Baronius, Annales ecclesiastici a Christo nato ad annum 1198. (. , 1913, .1). : 1 ... 400 ... , . .. " " (., , 1996). . .10.8 , , . , . .10.8, " ", ( ). , , , . 2.4. "" "" "" (.: , 1972). 10. : 1) , 83 - 56 ( ). 2) , 88 - 80 ( ). . , "" , , . , , . " " (.), . "" "" . , : 1) "" . - , "" . 2) "" : , 50 - 23. . , "" . 3) , "" "", "" ( , "", ). . . , "" "" . , "" "" , , (). "" ( , ) - . : "" - , , . 2.5. , ( , ). , 1979 . , () , . .. .. , : ) ( ): ) . , , , . , . ( ) 10. 1357 . , .. .. , . ) ( , , ): 1) 159 - 42 ( = 6; ). 2) 341 - 53 ( = 1 3; 2 2 ). 3) 517 - 31 ( = 42 = ; ). 4) 724 - 49 ( = 6; ). 5) 966 - 62 ( = 1; ). ) , (, , ) ( ). : 1212 - 18 ( = 23; ). ) , .. + . , . 1. .. [-1]. , "" , , ( , , ). ( .. -, - ) , . , , -, . . , , .. " " (.. ), , -. - (. ). 2. , . , , : .. "" (, , , , , ), - (, , ), - " " " ". 3. . , , , (!). . , , . , , , . , " ". .10.9. () , 0,9. " ", .. , , 0,05. ( ) . , , , , . . [-1]. , , , , " ". .10.10 . , [-1] -. . , - - , , ( - ). - ( - " ", -). , -. .10.10 : -. .10.10 , , ( -), . .  1 (.., ..) . 218 "-", 218218. . , ( ). , , .. . . , . 1 ---- (1)=10,2, (8)=5, (78)=1, (137)=1, (180)=2, (185)=1, (194)=1, (203)=1,2,3,1, (213)=3. 2 ---- (2)=20,1, (7)=1,2, (76)=1, (192)=1, (194)=1, (200)=1. 3 ---- (3)=2,1, (12)=2,4, (137)=1, (194)=1. 4 ---- (4)=2. 5 ---- (5)=2. 6 ---- (6)=3,4, (13)=7,3, (137)=2, (194)=2. 7 ---- (7)=11, (71)=5, (104)=2, (137)=1, (142)=2,1, (167)=2, (190)=2, (194)=1. 8 ---- (8)=7,6, (137)=2, (194)=2. 9 ---- (9)=2,3, (137)=1, (194)=2. 10 --- (10)=2,3, (137)=1, (194)=1. 11 --- (11)=2,3, (137)=1, (194)=1. 12 --- . . 14 --- (14)=2,27,9,1, (48)=1, (137)=1, (175)=2, (178)=2, (192)=2, (194)=3, (198)=1,1, (217)=1. 15 --- (15)=33,10,3,1, (21)=1, (35)=1,2,1, (47)=1, (50)=3, (73)=1,28,3,1,8,30, (97)=1, (99)=39, (101)=21,12, (137)=8,34,13, (165)=1, (171)=4, (176)=1, (192)=1, (194)=1, (199)=1, (217)=2,1. 16 --- (16)=5, (21)=1, (30)=1, (33)=1, (137)=2. 18 --- (18)=7,1,1, (137)=10, (178)=4, (180)=1, (218)=1. 19 --- (19)=3, (137)=2, (178)=1. 20 --- (20)=4, (137)=4, (139)=1, (169)=1, (171)=1, (175)=4. 21 --- (21)=3,1, (24)=1, (137)=7, (171)=1, (186)=1. 22 --- (22)=5,1, (45)=1, (101)=1, (137)=7, (169)=1, (171)=1. 23 --- (23)=2, (44)=1, (64)=3, (137)=7, (171)=2, (175)=1,1, (178)=3. 24 --- (24)=2, (137)=1. 25 --- (25)=1, (49)=1, (129)=1, (132)=4, (136)=26, (162)=1,1, (166)=7,15,1,1, (171)=3, (175)=12,166, (178)=21,16, (185)=1, (190)=1, (192)=4, (196)=1, (198)=1, (218)=6. 26 --- (26)=1, (37)=1, (76)=2, (137)=1, (171)=1, (175)=1, (178)=8, (180)=5, (185)=3, (188)=1. 30 --- (30)=2, (137)=1, (175)=2. 36 --- (36)=1, (40)=1,1, (51)=1,2,1, (76)=1, (137)=6, (168)=1, (194)=1. 37 --- (37)=4,1,1, (50)=3,1, (62)=1, (98)=2, (137)=9, (166)=5,4, (175)=3, (178)=2, (192)=2, (194)=2. 38 --- (38)=4, (62)=1, (71)=1, (137)=4. 39 --- (39)=1,1, (50)=1,2,1, (76)=1, (137)=1, (168)=2, (194)=1. 41 --- (41)=2,1, (45)=1, (52)=1,3, (137)=5, (194)=1. 42 --- (42)=4, (137)=3. 43 --- (43)=3, (137)=4, (140)=1. 44 --- (44)=2, (137)=1. 45 --- (45)=2, (71)=1, (78)=1, (137)=6. 53 --- (53)=2,2, (137)=1, (194)=1. 54 --- (54)=2,2, (137)=1, (194)=1. 55 --- (55)=2,2,2, (59)=2, (62)=6, (70)=2, (78)=1, (137)=1, (194)=1. 56 --- (56)=2,3,1,3, (78)=1, (137)=1, (194)=1. 57 --- (57)=6,1,7,14,18,152, (66)=8,3,2, (70)=15,3, (73)=6,9,1,1,9,2, (108)=1, (125)=1, (137)=6,2, (150)=1, (160)=1, (168)=2, (171)=5, (175)=4,1, (178)=1, (185)=1, (192)=7,1,17,11,7,2,1,1, (204)=9, (206)=1,9, (217)=11. 59 --- (59)=6,3, (62)=50, (66)=1,1, (73)=1, (76)=3, (78)=1, (185)=1, (198)=1, (204)=2, (217)=1. 60 --- (60)=10,2,2, (67)=2, (70)=1, (72)=4,151,278,12,30,50,17, (80)=2, (84)=3, (88)=1,2, (97)=1, (99)=13,1,2,33,3,1, (119)=1, (129)=3,4,1, (133)=1, (135)=8,4,1,2,8,2, (142)=3, (150)=1, (156)=1, (165)=1,2, (168)=2, (171)=14, (175)=45,70,1,65,4,12,1,6, (185)=4,1, (189)=1,4, (192)=3, (196)=19, (203)=1, (217)=4,1. 62 --- (62)=141, (66)=8,8,9,2,113,9, (73)=15,12,1,6,12,9, (87)=38,1,1, (99)=2, (101)=5,1, (105)=3, (108)=1, (113)=2, (115)=5, (125)=1, (136)=2,24,13, (141)=3, (145)=1, (149)=1,1, (153)=1, (160)=1, (167)=8,3, (170)=2,7, (175)=12,44, (178)=4, (182)=5, (188)=2, (192)=4,1,4, (196)=4,1, (204)=3, (207)=3, (217)=13. 63 --- (63)=7,1,2, (137)=10. 65 --- (65)=5, (73)=1,1, (76)=2, (137)=9. 67 --- (67)=12, (137)=17, (176)=1. 68 --- (68)=3,15,158,56,3,39,11,1,9,17,5, (99)=1, (108)=1, (125)=2, (137)=3,2, (171)=34, (175)=42,18,3,4, (180)=3, (182)=6,10, (185)=11,1, (191)=6,12,15,12,3,15,1, (203)=1,3,1, (207)=3, (217)=5. 70 --- (70)=101,64,38,220,176,60,382,88,242,23,8,15,10,9,11,3,4, (88)=12,18,3,4, (95)=2,16,34,6,41,9,49,28,11,6,5,2, (108)=6,2,6,3, (113)=1,1,1, (117)=1, (120)=3, (122)=4, (125)=5,5,5,1,13,1,1, (133)=5,1,4,1,77,56,12,4,6,1,6,3,5,1,2, (149)=1,4,2,1,1, (155)=1, (158)=3,1,8,2, (163)=3,6,3, (167)=18,26, (171)=59, (174)=1,53,92,6,152,2,54,5,43,3, (185)=10,1, (188)=3, (190)=20,5,30,8,33,14,26, (203)=1,9,1,2, (209)=1, (217)=9,14. 71 --- (71)=145, (73)=16,9, (175)=37,5,14,3, (81)=2,5,6, (88)=1, (90)=1, (97)=35, (99)=139,194,70,11,2, (105)=1,4, (134)=2, (136)=136,140,33, (141)=6, (144)=2,3, (147)=1, (150)=1,1, (155)=3, (161)=2, (164)=2, (168)=7,1,6,25, (175)=3,12,2,9,1,1, (182)=1,4, (186)=1, (190)=1, (194)=2,2,2, (203)=1,1, (209)=1, (218)=1. 72 --- (72)=22,9, (76)=13, (78)=1, (98)=4, (101)=15, (137)=20,6, (168)=3, (192)=4, (194)=2. 73 --- (73)=84,18, (76)=146,14,80,2,1,2,5,3,2,2,2, (88)=3, (90)=5, (95)=2,3,3,2,3, (101)=9,4,1, (117)=1, (122)=1, (126)=1, (132)=1,7, (135)=2,1,101,28, (143)=1, (145)=3, (147)=1, (149)=1,1, (155)=3, (158)=1,3,7,3,1,10,6, (167)=4,5, (170)=56,9, (175)=14,9, (178)=8, (180)=34, (183)=1, (190)=3, (192)=3, (194)=1, (197)=1, (218)=1. 74 --- (74)=503,178,454,58,258,3,8,1,1, (87)=1,1,2, (91)=1, (97)=2,4,22, (101)=27,6, (104)=1,4,2, (126)=1, (128)=5, (130)=3, (133)=1, (135)=2, (137)=76,78,6, (143)=2, (146)=1, (151)=1, (153)=2,2,1,1, (158)=1,3,1,3, (163)=1,1,4, (167)=29,33, (171)=17, (175)=4,6, (179)=7, (185)=3, (189)=5,6,1,190,116,135,274,94,2,11,9,12,2, (203)=7,44,29,24, 18,22,23,10,17,13,15,16,4,7,27,16. 75 --- (75)=7, (102)=1, (134)=1,1, (175)=1,1, (182)=1, (196)=1. 76 --- (76)=415,39,61,9, (81)=1,1,1, (88)=3,7,2, (97)=5, (99)=119,8, 13,7, (104)=1, (127)=3, (129)=4,1, (135)=6,1,82,28, (141)=2, (147)=2,1, (151)=1, (163)=5, (165)=2, (167)=4,16,1, (171)=11, (174)=1,1,21, (178)=7,3,3, (182)=1, (185)=2, (188)=3, (192)=2,1,1,6,4, (199)=1, (203)=2,1, (217)=1,3. 77 --- (77)=4, (137)=5, (170)=1, (175)=1. 78 --- (78)=43,7,2,3,5, (84)=8, (86)=3, (88)=2, (97)=1, (99)=1,1,32,18,4,2,4,3, (108)=8,1, (112)=2, (115)=1, (120)=2,1,17,2,3, (126)=6,3,2,1,6,3, (133)=9,2,17,12,18,18,14, 1,4,7,1,1,1, (147)=1, (149)=4,7,4,2,2,6,5,4,2,5,2,10,1,12,8, 11,4